Wal-Mart Stores Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
23.98%
increased by 0.18%
1 Week
24.15%
increased by 0.35%
1 Month
24.80%
increased by 1.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:48 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 74% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 74% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0182 | 2.35** |
| αARCH | 0.1194 | 6.75*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9867 | 242.44*** |
| γleverage | -0.0324 | -2.40** |
0.987
Persistence52d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0182 | 2.35** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1194 | 6.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9867 | 242.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0324 | -2.40** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
52 days
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