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V-Lab

Ford Motor Co EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

39.45%

increased by 1.22%

1 Week

39.59%

increased by 1.36%

1 Month

40.10%

increased by 1.87%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Ford Motor Co EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 46-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0309
3.91***
αARCH0.1396
9.00***
βGARCH0.9850
245.39***
γleverage-0.0154
-1.07

0.985

Persistence

46d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0309
3.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1396
9.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9850
245.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0154
-1.07

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days