V-Lab
Ford Motor Co EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
39.45%
increased by 1.22%
1 Week
39.59%
increased by 1.36%
1 Month
40.10%
increased by 1.87%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 46-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0309 | 3.91*** |
| αARCH | 0.1396 | 9.00*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9850 | 245.39*** |
| γleverage | -0.0154 | -1.07 |
0.985
Persistence46d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0309 | 3.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1396 | 9.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9850 | 245.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0154 | -1.07 |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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