V-Lab
Procter & Gamble Co/The EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
22.06%
increased by 0.09%
1 Week
22.13%
increased by 0.16%
1 Month
22.39%
increased by 0.42%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 148% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0148 | 7.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1337 | 35.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9826 | 881.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0570 | -17.63*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
39 days
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