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Procter & Gamble Co/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

17.35%

increased by 0.67%

1 Week

17.69%

increased by 1.01%

1 Month

18.35%

increased by 1.67%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 10:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 392% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 392% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.0284
3.12***
βGARCH0.7956
33.62***
γleverage0.1112
6.45***
λ₁tau intercept0.0292
1.53
λ₂forecast adj.0.0975
1.99**
λ₃tau persistence0.8846
15.24***

0.880

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0284
3.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7956
33.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1112
6.45***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0292
1.53
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0975
1.99**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8846
15.24***

Persistence:

0.880

Half-life:

5 days