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Procter & Gamble Co/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

19.96%

decreased by 0.40%

1 Week

20.04%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Month

20.23%

decreased by 0.13%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 391% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 391% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.0285
3.13***
βGARCH0.7951
33.51***
γleverage0.1115
6.46***
λ₁tau intercept0.0288
1.53
λ₂forecast adj.0.0967
2.00**
λ₃tau persistence0.8856
15.43***

0.879

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0285
3.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7951
33.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1115
6.46***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0288
1.53
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0967
2.00**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8856
15.43***

Persistence:

0.879

Half-life:

5 days