V-Lab
Procter & Gamble Co/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
19.06%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Week
19.80%
increased by 0.56%
1 Month
20.91%
increased by 1.67%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 393% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0285 | 12.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7940 | 83.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1119 | 23.59*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0292 | 1.95* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0982 | 2.19** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8840 | 16.74*** |
Persistence:
0.878
Half-life:
5 days
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