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V-Lab

Procter & Gamble Co/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

20.57%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Week

21.03%

increased by 0.38%

1 Month

22.14%

increased by 1.49%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0280
12.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7938
83.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1121
23.66***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0294
1.93*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0996
2.18**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8826
16.42***

Persistence:

0.878

Half-life:

5 days