V-Lab
Procter & Gamble Co/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
20.57%
decreased by 0.08%
1 Week
21.03%
increased by 0.38%
1 Month
22.14%
increased by 1.49%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0280 | 12.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7938 | 83.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1121 | 23.66*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0294 | 1.93* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0996 | 2.18** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8826 | 16.42*** |
Persistence:
0.878
Half-life:
5 days
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