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V-Lab

Procter & Gamble Co/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

19.06%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Week

19.80%

increased by 0.56%

1 Month

20.91%

increased by 1.67%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 393% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0285
12.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7940
83.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1119
23.59***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0292
1.95*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0982
2.19**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8840
16.74***

Persistence:

0.878

Half-life:

5 days