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V-Lab

Virtuix Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

296.68%

increased by 3.47%

1 Week

328.50%

increased by 35.29%

1 Month

338.08%

increased by 44.87%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Virtuix Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
18.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-18.66***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.03
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9792
0.43

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days