V-Lab
Virtuix Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
27.99%
decreased by 27.07%
1 Week
30.31%
decreased by 24.75%
1 Month
43.11%
decreased by 11.95%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0369 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2045 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.4716 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0028 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0775 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3385 |
Persistence:
0.477
Half-life:
1 days
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