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V-Lab

Virtuix Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

31.33%

decreased by 11.74%

1 Week

32.27%

decreased by 10.80%

1 Month

44.44%

increased by 1.37%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Virtuix Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6129
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5547
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3920
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0298
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1905

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days