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V-Lab

Virtuix Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

27.99%

decreased by 27.07%

1 Week

30.31%

decreased by 24.75%

1 Month

43.11%

decreased by 11.95%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Virtuix Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0369
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2045
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4716
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0028
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0775
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.3385

Persistence:

0.477

Half-life:

1 days