V-Lab
Virtuix Holdings Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
111.29%
decreased by 1.93%
1 Week
114.46%
increased by 1.24%
1 Month
115.15%
increased by 1.93%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.1125 | 3.74*** |
| αARCH | 0.1059 | 0.84 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 83.9318 | 3.32*** |
| γ2 | -110.8124 | -2.70*** |
| γ3 | 34.6060 | 1.32 |
0.106
Persistence0d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1125 | 3.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1059 | 0.84 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 83.9318 | 3.32*** |
| γ2 | -110.8124 | -2.70*** |
| γ3 | 34.6060 | 1.32 |
Persistence:
0.106
Half-life:
0 days
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