V-Lab
Boost Run Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
84.96%
increased by 1.40%
1 Week
90.84%
increased by 7.28%
1 Month
94.16%
increased by 10.60%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0170 | 2.78*** |
| αARCH | 0.1969 | 2.81*** |
| βGARCH | 0.3813 | 2.16** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | -53.4725 | -1.07 |
| γ2 | 53.3910 | 0.72 |
| γ3 | 81.6481 | 2.01** |
| γ4 | -161.7026 | -4.81*** |
| γ5 | 73.5081 | 2.54** |
| γ6 | 77.8071 | 3.74*** |
| γ7 | -142.5982 | -8.70*** |
| γ8 | 89.8310 | 6.88*** |
0.578
Persistence1d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0170 | 2.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1969 | 2.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3813 | 2.16** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | -53.4725 | -1.07 |
| γ2 | 53.3910 | 0.72 |
| γ3 | 81.6481 | 2.01** |
| γ4 | -161.7026 | -4.81*** |
| γ5 | 73.5081 | 2.54** |
| γ6 | 77.8071 | 3.74*** |
| γ7 | -142.5982 | -8.70*** |
| γ8 | 89.8310 | 6.88*** |
Persistence:
0.578
Half-life:
1 days
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