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V-Lab

Remark Holdings Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

1,524.24%

decreased by 271.95%

1 Week

1,414.49%

decreased by 381.70%

1 Month

1,102.13%

decreased by 694.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:13 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Remark Holdings Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 2003 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6863
2.39**
αARCH0.2332
2.46**
βGARCH0.6866
7.92***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0444
0.16
γ20.0893
0.22
γ3-0.3338
-1.35
γ40.2524
1.17
γ5-0.1515
-0.84
γ60.4283
2.55**
γ7-0.4511
-1.91*
γ8-0.0666
-0.23
γ90.5390
2.35**
γ10-0.5795
-3.25***

0.920

Persistence

8d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6863
2.39**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2332
2.46**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6866
7.92***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0444
0.16
γ20.0893
0.22
γ3-0.3338
-1.35
γ40.2524
1.17
γ5-0.1515
-0.84
γ60.4283
2.55**
γ7-0.4511
-1.91*
γ8-0.0666
-0.23
γ90.5390
2.35**
γ10-0.5795
-3.25***

Persistence:

0.920

Half-life:

8 days