V-Lab
Remark Holdings Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
776.79%
decreased by 24.23%
1 Week
730.24%
decreased by 70.78%
1 Month
594.57%
decreased by 206.45%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 2003 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8999 | 2.83*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1365 | 5.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7919 | 25.48*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 0.0005 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | 0.1824 | 0.45 |
| γ3 | -0.4249 | -1.80* |
| γ4 | 0.3134 | 1.53 |
| γ5 | -0.1903 | -1.05 |
| γ6 | 0.4713 | 2.80*** |
| γ7 | -0.5054 | -2.38** |
| γ8 | 0.0291 | 0.12 |
| γ9 | 0.3288 | 1.81* |
| γ10 | -0.3342 | -2.38** |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
Other Remark Holdings Inc Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on Equities