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V-Lab

Remark Holdings Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

776.79%

decreased by 24.23%

1 Week

730.24%

decreased by 70.78%

1 Month

594.57%

decreased by 206.45%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Remark Holdings Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 2003 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8999
2.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1365
5.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7919
25.48***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0005
0.00
γ20.1824
0.45
γ3-0.4249
-1.80*
γ40.3134
1.53
γ5-0.1903
-1.05
γ60.4713
2.80***
γ7-0.5054
-2.38**
γ80.0291
0.12
γ90.3288
1.81*
γ10-0.3342
-2.38**

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days