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V-Lab

Tingo Group Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

1,093.49%

decreased by 81.95%

1 Week

1,279.25%

increased by 103.81%

1 Month

1,477.05%

increased by 301.61%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 09:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tingo Group Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 2004 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.8685
2.10**
αARCH0.3034
3.27***
βGARCH0.4797
5.37***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ14.7322
5.56***
γ2-5.8213
-4.72***
γ31.5268
1.82*
γ4-0.5546
-0.57
γ50.0021
0.00
γ6-0.1625
-0.20
γ70.5920
1.05
γ81.0347
2.52**
γ9-2.7701
-5.04***
γ101.4591
2.51**

0.783

Persistence

3d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8685
2.10**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3034
3.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4797
5.37***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ14.7322
5.56***
γ2-5.8213
-4.72***
γ31.5268
1.82*
γ4-0.5546
-0.57
γ50.0021
0.00
γ6-0.1625
-0.20
γ70.5920
1.05
γ81.0347
2.52**
γ9-2.7701
-5.04***
γ101.4591
2.51**

Persistence:

0.783

Half-life:

3 days