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V-Lab

Tingo Group Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

1,420.29%

increased by 166.66%

1 Week

1,532.54%

increased by 278.91%

1 Month

1,675.16%

increased by 421.53%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 12:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tingo Group Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 2004 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4303
1.83*
αARCH0.2928
3.36***
βGARCH0.5151
6.04***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ13.6741
4.89***
γ2-4.6600
-4.43***
γ31.5263
2.52**
γ4-0.8702
-1.66*
γ50.2944
0.52
γ6-0.2433
-0.49
γ71.8089
3.77***
γ8-2.5913
-4.01***
γ90.9295
1.67*

0.808

Persistence

3d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4303
1.83*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2928
3.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5151
6.04***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ13.6741
4.89***
γ2-4.6600
-4.43***
γ31.5263
2.52**
γ4-0.8702
-1.66*
γ50.2944
0.52
γ6-0.2433
-0.49
γ71.8089
3.77***
γ8-2.5913
-4.01***
γ90.9295
1.67*

Persistence:

0.808

Half-life:

3 days