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Tingo Group Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

4,800.70%

decreased by 492.29%

1 Week

4,813.34%

decreased by 479.65%

1 Month

4,863.18%

decreased by 429.81%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 12:02 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tingo Group Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 2004 to Oct 19, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 553 trading days (~2.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~553 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6637
2.78***
αARCH0.1874
5.05***
βGARCH0.8113
19.92***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.9305
0.35
γ2-1.4223
-0.44
γ30.8726
0.77
γ4-0.7535
-1.00
γ50.3274
0.50
γ6-0.1083
-0.16
γ71.8244
2.74***
γ8-3.1847
-3.21***
γ91.6363
1.62

0.999

Persistence

553d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6637
2.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1874
5.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8113
19.92***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.9305
0.35
γ2-1.4223
-0.44
γ30.8726
0.77
γ4-0.7535
-1.00
γ50.3274
0.50
γ6-0.1083
-0.16
γ71.8244
2.74***
γ8-3.1847
-3.21***
γ91.6363
1.62

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

553 days