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V-Lab
V-Lab

Jaguar Uranium Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

51.20%

decreased by 4.93%

1 Week

53.84%

decreased by 2.29%

1 Month

54.60%

decreased by 1.53%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Jaguar Uranium Corp S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0746
4.41***
αARCH0.2710
1.73*
βGARCH0.0182
0.16
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-24.3831
-2.48**
γ237.2802
2.87***

0.289

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0746
4.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2710
1.73*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0182
0.16
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-24.3831
-2.48**
γ237.2802
2.87***

Persistence:

0.289

Half-life:

1 days