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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

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Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	2.1777	2.85***
αARCH	0.5470	2.12**
βGARCH	0.0341	0.71

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	2.1777	2.85***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.5470	2.12**
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.0341	0.71

V-Lab

Jaguar Uranium Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Jaguar Uranium Corp Analyses