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V-Lab

Jaguar Uranium Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

74.73%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Week

106.25%

increased by 31.33%

1 Month

133.07%

increased by 58.15%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Jaguar Uranium Corp S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8201
1.69*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6899
2.34**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0707
1.16
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ14.9821
2.10**

Persistence:

0.761

Half-life:

3 days