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V-Lab

Victoria's Secret & Co Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

66.33%

decreased by 2.49%

1 Week

68.13%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Month

69.99%

increased by 1.17%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Victoria's Secret & Co S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8748
8.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0899
1.77*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6557
4.25***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0135
-1.05

Persistence:

0.746

Half-life:

2 days