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V-Lab
V-Lab

Victoria's Secret & Co Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

69.65%

decreased by 1.91%

1 Week

69.98%

decreased by 1.58%

1 Month

70.32%

decreased by 1.24%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:39 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Victoria's Secret & Co S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8735
8.95***
αARCH0.0822
1.70*
βGARCH0.6603
4.05***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0127
-1.09

0.743

Persistence

2d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8735
8.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0822
1.70*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6603
4.05***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0127
-1.09

Persistence:

0.743

Half-life:

2 days