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V-Lab

Victoria's Secret & Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

73.43%

decreased by 7.51%

1 Week

71.64%

decreased by 9.30%

1 Month

69.21%

decreased by 11.73%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:39 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Victoria's Secret & Co GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.6982
1.91*
αARCH0.0038
0.30
βGARCH0.6795
5.08***
γleverage0.2289
0.95

0.798

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.6982
1.91*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0038
0.30
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6795
5.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2289
0.95

Persistence:

0.798

Half-life:

3 days