V-Lab
Victoria's Secret & Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
61.65%
decreased by 1.71%
1 Week
63.82%
increased by 0.46%
1 Month
66.65%
increased by 3.29%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 3, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.6089 | 7.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0054 | 1.69* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6788 | 20.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2401 | 3.70*** |
Persistence:
0.804
Half-life:
3 days
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