V-Lab
Victoria's Secret & Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
64.33%
decreased by 4.61%
1 Week
65.70%
decreased by 3.24%
1 Month
67.52%
decreased by 1.42%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.6442 | 7.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0052 | 1.61 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6771 | 20.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2440 | 3.70*** |
Persistence:
0.804
Half-life:
3 days
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