V-Lab
Victoria's Secret & Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
62.86%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
62.86%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
62.86%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Hessian SE
Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 546 trading days (~2.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.22 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 15.6815 | 0.14 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9987 | 0.91 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 5.2200 | 0.11 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
546 days
Other Victoria's Secret & Co Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities