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Victoria's Secret & Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

63.91%

decreased by 0.73%

1 Week

63.47%

decreased by 1.17%

1 Month

62.92%

decreased by 1.72%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:39 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Victoria's Secret & Co GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.42 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-lifev = 5.42 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst15.5723
1.99**
αARCH0.0577
0.62
βGARCH0.7850
8.93***
νDF5.4179
0.16

0.785

Persistence

3d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.5723
1.99**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0577
0.62
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7850
8.93***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.4179
0.16

Persistence:

0.785

Half-life:

3 days