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V-Lab

Victoria's Secret & Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

60.70%

decreased by 2.13%

1 Week

61.33%

decreased by 1.50%

1 Month

62.11%

decreased by 0.72%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Victoria's Secret & Co GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.52 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.5015
8.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0599
2.57**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7851
36.77***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.5152
0.66

Persistence:

0.785

Half-life:

3 days