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Victoria's Secret & Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

65.49%

decreased by 2.22%

1 Week

64.54%

decreased by 3.17%

1 Month

63.32%

decreased by 4.39%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Victoria's Secret & Co GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.38 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-lifev = 5.38 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst15.5974
1.95*
αARCH0.0574
0.61
βGARCH0.7862
8.98***
νDF5.3803
0.16

0.786

Persistence

3d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.5974
1.95*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0574
0.61
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7862
8.98***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.3803
0.16

Persistence:

0.786

Half-life:

3 days