V-Lab
Victoria's Secret & Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
60.70%
decreased by 2.13%
1 Week
61.33%
decreased by 1.50%
1 Month
62.11%
decreased by 0.72%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 3, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.52 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 15.5015 | 8.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0599 | 2.57** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7851 | 36.77*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 5.5152 | 0.66 |
Persistence:
0.785
Half-life:
3 days
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