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ATIF Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

72.61%

increased by 6.44%

1 Week

82.15%

increased by 15.98%

1 Month

99.50%

increased by 33.33%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of ATIF Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 3, 2019 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.71 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-lifev = 3.71 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run56.9783
1.38
αscore0.2127
3.36***
βpersistence0.8961
12.63***
νDF3.7057
2.10**

0.896

Persistence

6d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

56.9783
1.38
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.2127
3.36***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8961
12.63***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7057
2.10**

Persistence:

0.896

Half-life:

6 days