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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

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Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	41.2336	1.69*
αARCH	0.1669	3.96***
βGARCH	0.8587	10.45***
νDF	3.1220	2.67***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	41.2336	1.69*
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1669	3.96***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8587	10.45***
ν DF Student-t tail thickness	3.1220	2.67***

V-Lab

Rocket One Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Rocket One Inc Analyses