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Rocket One Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

90.50%

decreased by 19.55%

1 Week

92.73%

decreased by 17.32%

1 Month

96.51%

decreased by 13.54%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Rocket One Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2019 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.12 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 3.12 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run41.2336
1.69*
αscore0.1669
3.96***
βpersistence0.8587
10.45***
νDF3.1220
2.67***

0.859

Persistence

5d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

41.2336
1.69*
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1669
3.96***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8587
10.45***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.1220
2.67***

Persistence:

0.859

Half-life:

5 days