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Rocket One Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

140.33%

decreased by 44.38%

1 Week

132.32%

decreased by 52.39%

1 Month

116.62%

decreased by 68.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Rocket One Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2019 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.10 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 3.10 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst42.0306
1.63
αARCH0.1666
3.97***
βGARCH0.8624
10.37***
νDF3.0967
2.72***

0.862

Persistence

5d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

42.0306
1.63
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1666
3.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8624
10.37***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.0967
2.72***

Persistence:

0.862

Half-life:

5 days