V-Lab
Rocket One Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
68.42%
decreased by 0.76%
1 Week
81.54%
increased by 12.36%
1 Month
111.50%
increased by 42.32%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2019 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 4.16*** |
| αARCH | 0.3601 | 4.98*** |
| βGARCH | 0.5401 | 9.48*** |
| γleverage | 0.1027 | 0.58 |
0.952
Persistence14d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 4.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3601 | 4.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5401 | 9.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1027 | 0.58 |
Persistence:
0.952
Half-life:
14 days
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