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V-Lab

Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

31.66%

decreased by 5.08%

1 Week

34.37%

decreased by 2.37%

1 Month

35.90%

decreased by 0.84%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2049
14.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3787
8.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2309
7.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0577
-0.85

Persistence:

0.581

Half-life:

1 days