ServiceNow Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
79.47%
increased by 25.15%
1 Week
75.41%
increased by 21.09%
1 Month
63.90%
increased by 9.58%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:27 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2012 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 110% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 110% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4694 | 6.74*** |
| αARCH | 0.1315 | 5.62*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7240 | 33.60*** |
| γleverage | 0.1446 | 3.11*** |
0.928
Persistence9d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4694 | 6.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1315 | 5.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7240 | 33.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1446 | 3.11*** |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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