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V-Lab

CVS Health Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

33.58%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Week

33.50%

decreased by 0.51%

1 Month

33.22%

decreased by 0.79%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 10:37 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CVS Health Corp AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 55% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 55% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0472
6.52***
αARCH0.0901
8.67***
βGARCH0.8722
111.17***
γleverage0.0496
2.62***

0.987

Persistence

53d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0472
6.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0901
8.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8722
111.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0496
2.62***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

53 days