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V-Lab
V-Lab

Microsoft Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

25.87%

decreased by 2.20%

1 Week

26.22%

decreased by 1.85%

1 Month

27.41%

decreased by 0.66%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Microsoft Corp AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 41% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 41% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0950
8.33***
αARCH0.1759
12.55***
βGARCH0.7665
72.38***
γleverage0.0717
2.60***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0950
8.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1759
12.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7665
72.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0717
2.60***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days