V-Lab
Microsoft Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
31.39%
decreased by 1.09%
1 Week
31.47%
decreased by 1.01%
1 Month
31.79%
decreased by 0.69%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 136% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0604 | 15.31*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0402 | 18.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9198 | 508.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0546 | 10.88*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
54 days
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