V-Lab
Microsoft Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
36.33%
decreased by 1.18%
1 Week
36.32%
decreased by 1.19%
1 Month
36.26%
decreased by 1.25%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 153% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0524 | 14.13*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0349 | 17.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9279 | 528.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0536 | 11.38*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
66 days
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