Microsoft Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026
1 Day
35.30%
decreased by 0.85%
1 Week
35.31%
decreased by 0.84%
1 Month
35.34%
decreased by 0.81%
Analysis last updated: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 158% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 158% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0554 | 3.62*** |
| αARCH | 0.0356 | 4.51*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9252 | 129.29*** |
| γleverage | 0.0563 | 2.95*** |
0.989
Persistence63d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0554 | 3.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0356 | 4.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9252 | 129.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0563 | 2.95*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
63 days
Other Microsoft Corp Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equities