Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Microsoft Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

24.80%

increased by 1.21%

1 Week

25.08%

increased by 1.49%

1 Month

26.08%

increased by 2.49%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Microsoft Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 159% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 159% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0539
3.59***
αARCH0.0349
4.47***
βGARCH0.9266
131.08***
γleverage0.0554
2.94***

0.989

Persistence

64d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0539
3.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0349
4.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9266
131.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0554
2.94***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days