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V-Lab

Microsoft Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

36.33%

decreased by 1.18%

1 Week

36.32%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Month

36.26%

decreased by 1.25%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Microsoft Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 153% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0524
14.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0349
17.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9279
528.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0536
11.38***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

66 days