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V-Lab

Microsoft Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

31.39%

decreased by 1.09%

1 Week

31.47%

decreased by 1.01%

1 Month

31.79%

decreased by 0.69%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Microsoft Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 136% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0604
15.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0402
18.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9198
508.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0546
10.88***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days