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V-Lab

Microsoft Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

28.19%

decreased by 0.77%

1 Week

28.36%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Month

29.00%

increased by 0.04%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Microsoft Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 157% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 157% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0535
3.57***
αARCH0.0349
4.48***
βGARCH0.9270
131.02***
γleverage0.0548
2.91***

0.989

Persistence

64d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0535
3.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0349
4.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9270
131.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0548
2.91***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days