Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Microsoft Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

35.30%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Week

35.31%

decreased by 0.84%

1 Month

35.34%

decreased by 0.81%

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/06/2024

to

11/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Microsoft Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 158% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 158% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0554
3.62***
αARCH0.0356
4.51***
βGARCH0.9252
129.29***
γleverage0.0563
2.95***

0.989

Persistence

63d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0554
3.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0356
4.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9252
129.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0563
2.95***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days