Intel Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 30th, 2026
1 Day
64.50%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Week
64.43%
decreased by 0.31%
1 Month
64.14%
decreased by 0.60%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 292 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~292 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0206 | 2.40** |
| αARCH | 0.0317 | 3.66*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9665 | 153.26*** |
| γleverage | -0.0011 | -0.09 |
0.998
Persistence292d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0206 | 2.40** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0317 | 3.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9665 | 153.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0011 | -0.09 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
292 days
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