V-Lab
Intel Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
77.23%
decreased by 1.03%
1 Week
77.12%
decreased by 1.14%
1 Month
76.68%
decreased by 1.58%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 303 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0203 | 9.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0318 | 14.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9666 | 612.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0014 | -0.45 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
303 days
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