V-Lab
Intel Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
70.00%
decreased by 1.14%
1 Week
69.91%
decreased by 1.23%
1 Month
69.55%
decreased by 1.59%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 296 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~296 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0204 | 2.39** |
| αARCH | 0.0317 | 3.66*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9666 | 153.45*** |
| γleverage | -0.0012 | -0.10 |
0.998
Persistence296d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0204 | 2.39** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0317 | 3.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9666 | 153.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0012 | -0.10 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
296 days
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equities