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V-Lab
V-Lab

Intel Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

70.00%

decreased by 1.14%

1 Week

69.91%

decreased by 1.23%

1 Month

69.55%

decreased by 1.59%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Intel Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 296 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~296 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0204
2.39**
αARCH0.0317
3.66***
βGARCH0.9666
153.45***
γleverage-0.0012
-0.10

0.998

Persistence

296d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0204
2.39**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0317
3.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9666
153.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0012
-0.10

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

296 days