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V-Lab

Intel Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

70.59%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Week

70.50%

decreased by 0.89%

1 Month

70.13%

decreased by 1.26%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Intel Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 294 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~294 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0206
2.38**
αARCH0.0319
3.66***
βGARCH0.9664
152.10***
γleverage-0.0013
-0.11

0.998

Persistence

294d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0206
2.38**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0319
3.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9664
152.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0013
-0.11

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

294 days