V-Lab
Alpha Compute Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
106.95%
decreased by 6.34%
1 Week
116.85%
increased by 3.56%
1 Month
147.77%
increased by 34.48%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 57 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 57 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 6.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1871 | 9.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7860 | 52.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0295 | 0.48 |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
57 days
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