V-Lab
Alpha Compute Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
137.95%
decreased by 7.99%
1 Week
142.89%
decreased by 3.05%
1 Month
158.18%
increased by 12.24%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 2020 to Oct 2, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.63 |
| αARCH | 0.1364 | 2.14** |
| βGARCH | 0.8173 | 14.09*** |
| γleverage | 0.0353 | 0.18 |
0.971
Persistence24d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.63 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1364 | 2.14** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8173 | 14.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0353 | 0.18 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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