V-Lab
Alpha Compute Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
217.52%
decreased by 2.86%
1 Week
220.27%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
230.02%
increased by 9.64%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 2020 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 50 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 50 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 6.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1704 | 9.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7937 | 51.73*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0444 | 0.72 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
50 days
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