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V-Lab

Alpha Compute Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

137.95%

decreased by 7.99%

1 Week

142.89%

decreased by 3.05%

1 Month

158.18%

increased by 12.24%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Alpha Compute Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2020 to Oct 2, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.63
αARCH0.1364
2.14**
βGARCH0.8173
14.09***
γleverage0.0353
0.18

0.971

Persistence

24d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.63
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1364
2.14**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8173
14.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0353
0.18

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days