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V-Lab

Alpha Compute Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

173.97%

increased by 23.54%

1 Week

173.68%

increased by 23.25%

1 Month

172.74%

increased by 22.31%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Alpha Compute Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2020 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.03 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

114.5903
4.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1160
28.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9612
115.61***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.0339
15.17***

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

18 days