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V-Lab
V-Lab

Alpha Compute Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

145.09%

decreased by 1.95%

1 Week

156.24%

increased by 9.20%

1 Month

168.16%

increased by 21.12%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Alpha Compute Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2020 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow76
αARCH0.1604
2.93***
βGARCH0.6565
4.83***
γleverage-0.0797
-0.95
λ₁tau intercept0.2791
0.50
λ₂forecast adj.0.0215
0.89
λ₃tau persistence0.9779
35.56***

0.777

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1604
2.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6565
4.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0797
-0.95
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2791
0.50
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0215
0.89
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9779
35.56***

Persistence:

0.777

Half-life:

3 days