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V-Lab

Alpha Compute Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

245.73%

decreased by 36.45%

1 Week

227.63%

decreased by 54.55%

1 Month

198.56%

decreased by 83.62%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Alpha Compute Corp S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2020 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2400
1.77*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1795
3.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6386
6.64***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ15.2577
1.72*
γ2-7.2179
-1.74*
γ32.6282
1.19
γ41.0455
0.50
γ5-4.4664
-1.91*
γ63.6178
1.47
γ7-0.8074
-0.48

Persistence:

0.818

Half-life:

3 days