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V-Lab

Energys Group Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

41.12%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Week

45.52%

increased by 4.32%

1 Month

46.63%

increased by 5.43%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Energys Group Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4638
4.98***
αARCH0.2335
2.35**
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-132.7414
-2.20**
γ2174.6513
1.73*
γ3-17.4201
-0.23
γ4-91.0736
-1.28
γ5103.9481
1.51
γ6-17.9687
-0.34
γ7-58.5916
-1.54
γ860.3117
2.23**

0.234

Persistence

0d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4638
4.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2335
2.35**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-132.7414
-2.20**
γ2174.6513
1.73*
γ3-17.4201
-0.23
γ4-91.0736
-1.28
γ5103.9481
1.51
γ6-17.9687
-0.34
γ7-58.5916
-1.54
γ860.3117
2.23**

Persistence:

0.234

Half-life:

0 days