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V-Lab

Energys Group Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

80.49%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

89.51%

increased by 9.02%

1 Month

91.86%

increased by 11.37%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Energys Group Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2536
2.11**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2537
2.34**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-280.7622
-1.62
γ2359.4184
1.37
γ3-109.6595
-0.82
γ4114.5230
1.58
γ5-206.3952
-1.73*
γ6159.1010
1.09
γ75.1363
0.05
γ8-55.8654
-0.64
γ911.6594
0.20

Persistence:

0.254

Half-life:

1 days