VenHub Global Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
74.35%
decreased by 5.28%
1 Week
85.38%
increased by 5.75%
1 Month
89.53%
increased by 9.90%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.9435 | 4.08*** |
| αARCH | 0.3002 | 1.99** |
| βGARCH | 0.1415 | 0.64 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 3.6318 | 4.02*** |
0.442
Persistence1d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9435 | 4.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3002 | 1.99** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1415 | 0.64 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 3.6318 | 4.02*** |
Persistence:
0.442
Half-life:
1 days
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