V-Lab
VenHub Global Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
83.56%
decreased by 5.63%
1 Week
94.07%
increased by 4.88%
1 Month
97.90%
increased by 8.71%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.5780 | 3.12*** |
| αARCH | 0.3007 | 1.68* |
| βGARCH | 0.1213 | 0.45 |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 15.3104 | 1.78* |
| γ2 | -13.6083 | -1.31 |
0.422
Persistence1d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.5780 | 3.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3007 | 1.68* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1213 | 0.45 |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 15.3104 | 1.78* |
| γ2 | -13.6083 | -1.31 |
Persistence:
0.422
Half-life:
1 days
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