V-Lab
VenHub Global Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
18.82%
1 Week
10,500,542.39%
1 Month
12,404,420,179,919,738,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2732 | 68.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6921 | 138.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2732 | -65.15*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 4.00*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 5.00*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0002 | 9.10*** |
Persistence:
0.829
Half-life:
4 days
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