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V-Lab

VenHub Global Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

236.01%

increased by 74.03%

1 Week

250.70%

increased by 88.72%

1 Month

381.82%

increased by 219.84%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of VenHub Global Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 75 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 99% more than positive returns

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5038
70.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2370
76.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
27.20***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.68
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0314
0.54
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9686
9.94***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

75 days