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VenHub Global Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

89.77%

increased by 1.17%

1 Week

109.88%

increased by 21.28%

1 Month

210.79%

increased by 122.19%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

All

graph of VenHub Global Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.5000
96.38***
βGARCH0.7282
229.49***
γleverage-0.5000
-101.50***
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
0.99
λ₂forecast adj.0.1232
1.05
λ₃tau persistence0.8768
6.24***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
96.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7282
229.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-101.50***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.99
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1232
1.05
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8768
6.24***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days