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V-Lab

Intel Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

85.78%

increased by 6.98%

1 Week

84.52%

increased by 5.72%

1 Month

82.62%

increased by 3.82%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Intel Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 89% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0469
14.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8105
96.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0416
7.93***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0484
1.14
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0830
3.74***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9108
31.92***

Persistence:

0.878

Half-life:

5 days