V-Lab
Intel Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
74.19%
decreased by 1.06%
1 Week
75.82%
increased by 0.57%
1 Month
79.53%
increased by 4.28%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 90% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0465 | 14.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8111 | 97.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0420 | 8.04*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0484 | 1.16 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0823 | 3.75*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9114 | 32.33*** |
Persistence:
0.879
Half-life:
5 days
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