V-Lab
Intel Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
77.61%
increased by 0.31%
1 Week
78.41%
increased by 1.11%
1 Month
80.77%
increased by 3.47%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 91% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0463 | 14.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8110 | 96.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0423 | 8.07*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0481 | 1.14 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0827 | 3.75*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9111 | 32.17*** |
Persistence:
0.879
Half-life:
5 days
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