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V-Lab

Intel Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

73.05%

decreased by 1.60%

1 Week

75.01%

increased by 0.36%

1 Month

78.62%

increased by 3.97%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Intel Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 89% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 89% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.0466
3.55***
βGARCH0.8125
24.72***
γleverage0.0416
1.99**
λ₁tau intercept0.0483
0.87
λ₂forecast adj.0.0809
1.14
λ₃tau persistence0.9127
11.68***

0.880

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0466
3.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8125
24.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0416
1.99**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0483
0.87
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0809
1.14
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9127
11.68***

Persistence:

0.880

Half-life:

5 days