V-Lab
Intel Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
85.78%
increased by 6.98%
1 Week
84.52%
increased by 5.72%
1 Month
82.62%
increased by 3.82%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 89% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0469 | 14.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8105 | 96.49*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0416 | 7.93*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0484 | 1.14 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0830 | 3.74*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9108 | 31.92*** |
Persistence:
0.878
Half-life:
5 days
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