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V-Lab

Intel Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

74.19%

decreased by 1.06%

1 Week

75.82%

increased by 0.57%

1 Month

79.53%

increased by 4.28%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Intel Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 90% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0465
14.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8111
97.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0420
8.04***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0484
1.16
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0823
3.75***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9114
32.33***

Persistence:

0.879

Half-life:

5 days