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V-Lab
V-Lab

PowerBank Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

145.99%

increased by 30.03%

1 Week

143.77%

increased by 27.81%

1 Month

138.67%

increased by 22.71%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:54 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of PowerBank Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 8, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 332% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 332% more than negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow91
αARCH0.4905
8.91***
βGARCH0.6019
15.36***
γleverage-0.3769
-4.85***
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
0.67
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.8570
3.40***

0.904

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4905
8.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6019
15.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3769
-4.85***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.67
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8570
3.40***

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days