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V-Lab

PowerBank Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

104.15%

decreased by 14.89%

1 Week

104.65%

decreased by 14.39%

1 Month

106.01%

decreased by 13.03%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of PowerBank Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 8, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.23 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

46.8095
3.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1711
11.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9423
47.57***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.2304
5.26***

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days