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V-Lab

PowerBank Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

85.28%

decreased by 8.19%

1 Week

87.99%

decreased by 5.48%

1 Month

95.11%

increased by 1.64%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of PowerBank Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 8, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.12 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

45.9981
3.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1674
11.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9425
46.28***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.1174
5.34***

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days