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PowerBank Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

86.04%

increased by 4.73%

1 Week

88.47%

increased by 7.16%

1 Month

94.72%

increased by 13.41%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of PowerBank Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 8, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.32 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 4.32 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst43.7636
0.82
αARCH0.1720
2.78***
βGARCH0.9379
11.40***
νDF4.3221
1.23

0.938

Persistence

11d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

43.7636
0.82
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1720
2.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9379
11.40***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.3221
1.23

Persistence:

0.938

Half-life:

11 days