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Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

102.17%

decreased by 12.33%

1 Week

111.52%

decreased by 2.98%

1 Month

124.37%

increased by 9.87%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.71 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-lifev = 3.71 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run71.4196
0.89
αscore0.1461
0.96
βpersistence0.8285
5.88***
νDF3.7099
0.61

0.828

Persistence

4d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

71.4196
0.89
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1461
0.96
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8285
5.88***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7099
0.61

Persistence:

0.828

Half-life:

4 days