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Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

126.35%

increased by 18.29%

1 Week

129.39%

increased by 21.33%

1 Month

134.14%

increased by 26.08%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.45 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-lifev = 3.45 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst74.7092
0.78
αARCH0.1501
1.01
βGARCH0.8409
5.40***
νDF3.4526
0.72

0.841

Persistence

4d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

74.7092
0.78
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1501
1.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8409
5.40***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.4526
0.72

Persistence:

0.841

Half-life:

4 days