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V-Lab

Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

129.69%

increased by 0.84%

1 Week

130.43%

increased by 1.58%

1 Month

132.84%

increased by 3.99%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 22-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.4487
0.26
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9582
11.85***
γleverage0.0220
0.27

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4487
0.26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9582
11.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0220
0.27

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days