Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
129.60%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Week
130.12%
increased by 0.08%
1 Month
131.82%
increased by 1.78%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 23-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.2207 | 0.27 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9601 | 11.86*** |
| γleverage | 0.0215 | 0.27 |
0.971
Persistence23d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2207 | 0.27 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9601 | 11.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0215 | 0.27 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
23 days
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