V-Lab
Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
129.69%
increased by 0.84%
1 Week
130.43%
increased by 1.58%
1 Month
132.84%
increased by 3.99%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 22-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.4487 | 0.26 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9582 | 11.85*** |
| γleverage | 0.0220 | 0.27 |
0.969
Persistence22d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.4487 | 0.26 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9582 | 11.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0220 | 0.27 |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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