Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

MindForge Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

163.82%

decreased by 10.38%

1 Week

168.11%

decreased by 6.09%

1 Month

184.26%

increased by 10.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of MindForge Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.8236
0.98
αARCH0.2195
1.41
βGARCH0.8497
14.36***
γleverage-0.1385
-0.91

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8236
0.98
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2195
1.41
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8497
14.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1385
-0.91

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-