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V-Lab

MindForge Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

292.51%

decreased by 26.54%

1 Week

295.28%

decreased by 23.77%

1 Month

306.12%

decreased by 12.93%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of MindForge Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 154% more than negative returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.2336
4.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2406
5.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8325
52.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1460
-3.13***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days