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V-Lab

MindForge Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

337.20%

decreased by 51.05%

1 Week

388.35%

increased by 0.10%

1 Month

752.10%

increased by 363.85%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of MindForge Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.138 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0205
11.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3868
15.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7509
78.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1081
0.28

Persistence:

1.138

Half-life:

-