V-Lab
Society Pass Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
4,773.66%
decreased by 433.37%
1 Week
6,525.05%
increased by 1,318.02%
1 Month
33,252.67%
increased by 28,045.64%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 9, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.317 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4764 | 8.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8405 | 127.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1532 | -0.36 |
Persistence:
1.317
Half-life:
-
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