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V-Lab

Society Pass Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

4,773.66%

decreased by 433.37%

1 Week

6,525.05%

increased by 1,318.02%

1 Month

33,252.67%

increased by 28,045.64%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Society Pass Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 9, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.317 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4764
8.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8405
127.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1532
-0.36

Persistence:

1.317

Half-life:

-