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V-Lab
V-Lab

Society Pass Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

10,050.47%

decreased by 293.77%

1 Week

11,104.23%

increased by 759.99%

1 Month

11,806.96%

increased by 1,462.72%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 09:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Society Pass Inc SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 9, 2021 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5540
1.88*
αARCH0.5447
2.20**
βGARCH0.0957
1.20
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ19.6848
1.82*
γ2-8.1944
-1.06
γ3-0.3321
-0.06
γ40.6547
0.13
γ5-4.8903
-0.99
γ66.7666
1.12
γ7-9.6955
-1.39
γ812.8561
2.06**
γ9-12.3813
-1.82*
γ1034.9955
3.61***

0.640

Persistence

2d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5540
1.88*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5447
2.20**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0957
1.20
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ19.6848
1.82*
γ2-8.1944
-1.06
γ3-0.3321
-0.06
γ40.6547
0.13
γ5-4.8903
-0.99
γ66.7666
1.12
γ7-9.6955
-1.39
γ812.8561
2.06**
γ9-12.3813
-1.82*
γ1034.9955
3.61***

Persistence:

0.640

Half-life:

2 days