Skip to main content
V-Lab

Society Pass Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

313.40%

increased by 13.80%

1 Week

299.32%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Month

258.64%

decreased by 40.96%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Society Pass Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 9, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.92 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

116.1454
2.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1793
15.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9331
38.83***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.9173
12.76***

Persistence:

0.933

Half-life:

10 days