V-Lab
Society Pass Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
313.40%
increased by 13.80%
1 Week
299.32%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Month
258.64%
decreased by 40.96%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 9, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.92 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 116.1454 | 2.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1793 | 15.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9331 | 38.83*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.9173 | 12.76*** |
Persistence:
0.933
Half-life:
10 days
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