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Hallmark Financial Services Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

1,194,860.72%

increased by 174,820.13%

1 Week

1,193,666.52%

increased by 173,625.93%

1 Month

1,188,909.25%

increased by 168,868.66%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Hallmark Financial Services Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 16, 1990 to Jul 28, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7.5929
21.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0746
284.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0000

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days