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V-Lab

Mount Logan Capital Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

43.03%

decreased by 6.53%

1 Week

44.92%

decreased by 4.64%

1 Month

50.22%

increased by 0.66%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Mount Logan Capital Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.3878
3.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1678
14.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9573
78.98***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.6600
8.20***

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days