V-Lab
Mount Logan Capital Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
43.03%
decreased by 6.53%
1 Week
44.92%
decreased by 4.64%
1 Month
50.22%
increased by 0.66%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 15, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 15.3878 | 3.44*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1678 | 14.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9573 | 78.98*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.6600 | 8.20*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
Other Mount Logan Capital Inc Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities