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Hain Celestial Group Inc/The GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

130.76%

increased by 0.23%

1 Week

130.68%

increased by 0.15%

1 Month

130.37%

decreased by 0.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hain Celestial Group Inc/The GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1994 to Oct 23, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.47 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~693 daysv = 4.47 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run27.6077
1.61
αscore0.0463
18.63***
βpersistence0.9990
1,856.88***
νDF4.4651
10.90***

0.999

Persistence

693d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

27.6077
1.61
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0463
18.63***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9990
1,856.88***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.4651
10.90***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days