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Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

179.85%

decreased by 1.06%

1 Week

179.76%

decreased by 1.15%

1 Month

179.43%

decreased by 1.48%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1994 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1192 trading days (~4.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1192 days
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.0151
3.19***
βGARCH0.9817
337.47***
γleverage0.0053
0.98
λ₁tau intercept0.1656
0.82
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9929
61.34***

0.999

Persistence

1192d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0151
3.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9817
337.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0053
0.98
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1656
0.82
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9929
61.34***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1192 days