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V-Lab

Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

71.14%

decreased by 4.68%

1 Week

71.07%

decreased by 4.75%

1 Month

70.82%

decreased by 5.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1994 to Jul 10, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 61% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0948
17.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8624
165.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0574
7.35***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.22
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4658
0.19

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days