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Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

75.76%

decreased by 2.11%

1 Week

81.11%

increased by 3.24%

1 Month

88.02%

increased by 10.15%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:38 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1994 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow51
αARCH0.1366
3.45***
βGARCH0.6464
12.23***
γleverage0.0144
0.44
λ₁tau intercept0.0114
1.29
λ₂forecast adj.0.0139
3.66***
λ₃tau persistence0.9852
237.29***

0.790

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1366
3.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6464
12.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0144
0.44
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0114
1.29
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0139
3.66***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9852
237.29***

Persistence:

0.790

Half-life:

3 days