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V-Lab

Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

61.29%

decreased by 2.00%

1 Week

61.53%

decreased by 1.76%

1 Month

62.40%

decreased by 0.89%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1994 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 55% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0972
17.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8625
165.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0534
6.76***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.24
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4805
0.22

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

51 days