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Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

82.33%

decreased by 2.60%

1 Week

85.23%

increased by 0.30%

1 Month

89.60%

increased by 4.67%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1994 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow46
αARCH0.1356
3.42***
βGARCH0.6439
12.04***
γleverage0.0151
0.46
λ₁tau intercept0.0102
1.24
λ₂forecast adj.0.0131
3.78***
λ₃tau persistence0.9861
259.71***

0.787

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1356
3.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6439
12.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0151
0.46
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0102
1.24
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0131
3.78***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9861
259.71***

Persistence:

0.787

Half-life:

3 days