Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
71.14%
decreased by 4.68%
1 Week
71.07%
decreased by 4.75%
1 Month
70.82%
decreased by 5.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 1994 to Jul 10, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 61% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0948 | 17.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8624 | 165.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0574 | 7.35*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.22 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4658 | 0.19 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
49 days
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