V-Lab
Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
61.29%
decreased by 2.00%
1 Week
61.53%
decreased by 1.76%
1 Month
62.40%
decreased by 0.89%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 1994 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 55% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0972 | 17.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8625 | 165.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0534 | 6.76*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.24 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4805 | 0.22 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
51 days
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