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V-Lab

Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

141.24%

decreased by 9.57%

1 Week

139.97%

decreased by 10.84%

1 Month

135.20%

decreased by 15.61%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hain Celestial Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1994 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 59% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1011
17.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8565
163.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0599
7.40***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.41
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5406
0.46

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

55 days