V-Lab
BARK Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
73.46%
increased by 1.14%
1 Week
75.45%
increased by 3.13%
1 Month
80.84%
increased by 8.52%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 11, 2020 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8594 | 21.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1333 | 5.95*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.10 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0200 | 0.07 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6535 | 0.19 |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
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