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V-Lab

BARK Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

73.13%

decreased by 0.88%

1 Week

74.21%

increased by 0.20%

1 Month

75.50%

increased by 1.49%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of BARK Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 11, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0653
2.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7084
15.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0368
-1.90*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.0570
0.02
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0068
0.03
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9466
0.43

Persistence:

0.755

Half-life:

2 days