V-Lab
News Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026
1 Day
26.28%
decreased by 1.54%
1 Week
27.14%
decreased by 0.68%
1 Month
28.22%
increased by 0.40%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2013 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 100% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 100% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 76 | |
| αARCH | 0.0891 | 3.26*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6450 | 8.14*** |
| γleverage | 0.0888 | 2.06** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 1.2067 | 2.07** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.6235 | 2.22** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.779
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0891 | 3.26*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6450 | 8.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0888 | 2.06** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.2067 | 2.07** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6235 | 2.22** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.779
Half-life:
3 days
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