V-Lab
News Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
24.91%
decreased by 1.36%
1 Week
26.36%
increased by 0.09%
1 Month
28.44%
increased by 2.17%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 99% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0889 | 11.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6445 | 30.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0880 | 8.73*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.2016 | 0.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6274 | 0.18 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.777
Half-life:
3 days
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