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V-Lab
V-Lab

News Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

23.87%

decreased by 0.51%

1 Week

25.17%

increased by 0.79%

1 Month

26.61%

increased by 2.23%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of News Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2013 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 95% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 95% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.0950
3.57***
βGARCH0.6676
8.57***
γleverage0.0899
2.13**
λ₁tau intercept0.0612
1.16
λ₂forecast adj.0.0336
1.43
λ₃tau persistence0.9474
25.45***

0.808

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0950
3.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6676
8.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0899
2.13**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0612
1.16
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0336
1.43
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9474
25.45***

Persistence:

0.808

Half-life:

3 days