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V-Lab

News Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

32.90%

decreased by 3.52%

1 Week

31.39%

decreased by 5.03%

1 Month

29.63%

decreased by 6.79%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of News Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2013 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 105% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0870
11.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6430
30.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0918
9.04***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.1982
0.18
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6275
0.18
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.776

Half-life:

3 days