V-Lab
News Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
32.90%
decreased by 3.52%
1 Week
31.39%
decreased by 5.03%
1 Month
29.63%
decreased by 6.79%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2013 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 105% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0870 | 11.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6430 | 30.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0918 | 9.04*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.1982 | 0.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6275 | 0.18 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.776
Half-life:
3 days
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