Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

News Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

26.28%

decreased by 1.54%

1 Week

27.14%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Month

28.22%

increased by 0.40%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of News Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2013 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 100% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 100% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow76
αARCH0.0891
3.26***
βGARCH0.6450
8.14***
γleverage0.0888
2.06**
λ₁tau intercept1.2067
2.07**
λ₂forecast adj.0.6235
2.22**
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.779

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0891
3.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6450
8.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0888
2.06**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.2067
2.07**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6235
2.22**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.779

Half-life:

3 days