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V-Lab
V-Lab

News Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

25.72%

decreased by 1.86%

1 Week

26.93%

decreased by 0.65%

1 Month

28.18%

increased by 0.60%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:53 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of News Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2013 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 105% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 105% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow76
αARCH0.0859
3.21***
βGARCH0.6476
8.25***
γleverage0.0901
2.11**
λ₁tau intercept1.2039
2.07**
λ₂forecast adj.0.6241
2.24**
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.779

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0859
3.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6476
8.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0901
2.11**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.2039
2.07**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6241
2.24**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.779

Half-life:

3 days