V-Lab
PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
57.74%
1 Week
62.55%
1 Month
66.68%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 208% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3579 | 20.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3213 | 10.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2418 | -10.36*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.1474 | 1.74* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8283 | 6.38*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.558
Half-life:
1 days
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