PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
68.17%
1 Week
74.41%
1 Month
79.03%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 2020 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 224% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 66 | |
| αARCH | 0.3642 | 3.82*** |
| βGARCH | 0.3109 | 2.61*** |
| γleverage | -0.2519 | -2.55** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 4.2597 | 2.08** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.8394 | 7.76*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.549
Persistence1d
Half-lifeMF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3642 | 3.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3109 | 2.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2519 | -2.55** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.2597 | 2.08** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8394 | 7.76*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.549
Half-life:
1 days
Other PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities