V-Lab
PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
77.89%
1 Week
73.76%
1 Month
70.50%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 211% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3642 | 18.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3487 | 10.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2470 | -10.67*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.5368 | 2.10** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8112 | 3.25*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.589
Half-life:
1 days
Other PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities