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PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

61.04%

decreased by 9.69%

1 Week

64.49%

decreased by 6.24%

1 Month

66.87%

decreased by 3.86%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2020 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 205% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 205% more than negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.3497
3.67***
βGARCH0.3230
2.61***
γleverage-0.2352
-2.40**
λ₁tau intercept4.1041
2.03**
λ₂forecast adj.0.8275
7.91***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.555

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3497
3.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3230
2.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2352
-2.40**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.1041
2.03**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8275
7.91***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.555

Half-life:

1 days