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PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

61.61%

decreased by 17.28%

1 Week

62.91%

decreased by 15.98%

1 Month

63.36%

decreased by 15.53%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:56 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2020 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5607
4.85***
αARCH0.2110
3.48***
βGARCH0.1564
1.28
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-6.9179
-3.31***
γ211.6068
3.80***
γ3-8.9406
-4.49***
γ48.1729
4.03***
γ5-7.8824
-3.69***
γ65.5268
2.87***
γ70.0489
0.03
γ8-3.1274
-2.39**
γ91.8164
1.93*

0.367

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5607
4.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2110
3.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1564
1.28
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-6.9179
-3.31***
γ211.6068
3.80***
γ3-8.9406
-4.49***
γ48.1729
4.03***
γ5-7.8824
-3.69***
γ65.5268
2.87***
γ70.0489
0.03
γ8-3.1274
-2.39**
γ91.8164
1.93*

Persistence:

0.367

Half-life:

1 days