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V-Lab

PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

73.14%

increased by 20.23%

1 Week

65.35%

increased by 12.44%

1 Month

62.12%

increased by 9.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2020 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5440
4.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2091
3.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2003
1.53
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-7.8032
-3.46***
γ212.9803
3.98***
γ3-9.6016
-4.45***
γ48.0679
3.68***
γ5-6.5316
-2.90***
γ62.5724
1.32
γ73.5613
2.10**
γ8-5.4778
-3.43***
γ92.7074
2.39**

Persistence:

0.409

Half-life:

1 days