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PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

56.43%

decreased by 4.66%

1 Week

57.68%

decreased by 3.41%

1 Month

58.16%

decreased by 2.93%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2020 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5551
4.72***
αARCH0.2048
3.32***
βGARCH0.2131
1.62
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-7.1975
-3.33***
γ212.0387
3.83***
γ3-9.1552
-4.50***
γ48.1950
3.93***
γ5-7.6296
-3.47***
γ64.8841
2.50**
γ70.9668
0.62
γ8-4.0890
-3.06***
γ92.5479
2.68***

0.418

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5551
4.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2048
3.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2131
1.62
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-7.1975
-3.33***
γ212.0387
3.83***
γ3-9.1552
-4.50***
γ48.1950
3.93***
γ5-7.6296
-3.47***
γ64.8841
2.50**
γ70.9668
0.62
γ8-4.0890
-3.06***
γ92.5479
2.68***

Persistence:

0.418

Half-life:

1 days