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PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

89.58%

decreased by 6.56%

1 Week

87.65%

decreased by 8.49%

1 Month

82.70%

decreased by 13.44%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2020 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.09 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-lifev = 4.09 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run23.8319
1.24
αscore0.1017
2.24**
βpersistence0.9226
12.87***
νDF4.0929
0.94

0.923

Persistence

9d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

23.8319
1.24
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1017
2.24**
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9226
12.87***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0929
0.94

Persistence:

0.923

Half-life:

9 days