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PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

76.39%

decreased by 2.36%

1 Week

76.70%

decreased by 2.05%

1 Month

77.39%

decreased by 1.36%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2020 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.73 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 3.73 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst24.2545
1.16
αARCH0.1242
2.28**
βGARCH0.9072
10.52***
νDF3.7321
1.18

0.907

Persistence

7d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

24.2545
1.16
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1242
2.28**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9072
10.52***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7321
1.18

Persistence:

0.907

Half-life:

7 days