V-Lab
PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
62.79%
increased by 0.02%
1 Week
65.78%
increased by 3.01%
1 Month
72.05%
increased by 9.28%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.70 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 24.4926 | 4.59*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1274 | 9.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9051 | 40.93*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.7017 | 4.84*** |
Persistence:
0.905
Half-life:
7 days
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