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PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

91.21%

decreased by 9.69%

1 Week

89.29%

decreased by 11.61%

1 Month

84.68%

decreased by 16.22%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:56 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2020 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.71 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 3.71 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst24.5702
1.12
αARCH0.1212
2.28**
βGARCH0.9113
10.69***
νDF3.7113
1.19

0.911

Persistence

7d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

24.5702
1.12
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1212
2.28**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9113
10.69***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7113
1.19

Persistence:

0.911

Half-life:

7 days