V-Lab
PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
104.43%
decreased by 22.36%
1 Week
96.07%
decreased by 30.72%
1 Month
84.23%
decreased by 42.56%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:56 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 2020 to Oct 2, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 3.00*** |
| αARCH | 0.3029 | 2.28** |
| βGARCH | 0.5757 | 5.49*** |
| γleverage | -0.1781 | -0.95 |
0.790
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3029 | 2.28** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5757 | 5.49*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1781 | -0.95 |
Persistence:
0.790
Half-life:
3 days
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