V-Lab
PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
61.91%
increased by 0.31%
1 Week
67.53%
increased by 5.93%
1 Month
74.05%
increased by 12.45%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 137% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 11.86*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3025 | 8.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5734 | 21.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1747 | -3.66*** |
Persistence:
0.789
Half-life:
3 days
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