V-Lab
PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026
1 Day
68.67%
decreased by 3.08%
1 Week
71.64%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
75.20%
increased by 3.45%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 2020 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 2.97*** |
| αARCH | 0.2996 | 2.22** |
| βGARCH | 0.5738 | 5.41*** |
| γleverage | -0.1723 | -0.91 |
0.787
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2996 | 2.22** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5738 | 5.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1723 | -0.91 |
Persistence:
0.787
Half-life:
3 days
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