PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
73.66%
decreased by 8.80%
1 Week
75.03%
decreased by 7.43%
1 Month
76.73%
decreased by 5.73%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 2020 to Oct 23, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 3.03*** |
| αARCH | 0.2991 | 2.29** |
| βGARCH | 0.5784 | 5.58*** |
| γleverage | -0.1733 | -0.93 |
0.791
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2991 | 2.29** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5784 | 5.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1733 | -0.93 |
Persistence:
0.791
Half-life:
3 days
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