Onterris Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
61.72%
decreased by 0.49%
1 Week
63.53%
increased by 1.32%
1 Month
65.15%
increased by 2.94%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:38 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2020 to Oct 23, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.68* |
| αARCH | 0.0254 | 0.52 |
| βGARCH | 0.6559 | 3.67*** |
| γleverage | 0.0556 | 0.60 |
0.709
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.68* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0254 | 0.52 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6559 | 3.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0556 | 0.60 |
Persistence:
0.709
Half-life:
2 days
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