V-Lab
Onterris Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
60.82%
increased by 0.31%
1 Week
62.94%
increased by 2.43%
1 Month
64.82%
increased by 4.31%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2020 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.70* |
| αARCH | 0.0288 | 0.60 |
| βGARCH | 0.6501 | 3.70*** |
| γleverage | 0.0561 | 0.59 |
0.707
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.70* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0288 | 0.60 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6501 | 3.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0561 | 0.59 |
Persistence:
0.707
Half-life:
2 days
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